Could China beat the USA in a war?
Economic analysts debate whether China could survive an economic decoupling from the U.S., with some arguing that China is better positioned than the U.S. to withstand such a split. While China is currently deeply dependent on the U.S. dollar and the U.S. trade deficit, economists have suggested that China’s sophisticated "fintech" sector and its digital currency initiatives could potentially allow it to build a renminbi-denominated payment system that bypasses the dollar-dominated global system. This would, however, require China to fundamentally overhaul its economic model, moving away from an export-led strategy toward one that relies on domestic consumption—a transition that would likely face severe domestic resistance. The consensus is that while a decoupling would be devastatingly disruptive to both nations, the path for China to survive would involve a "dark deal" restructuring that would fundamentally change its position in the global trading system.
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